Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 48.75 | $0.080 | $3.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 185.19 |
| $0.027 |
| $5 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.353 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.860 | $18.69 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 27.76 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.126 | $10 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | buy | 39.04 | $0.256 | $10 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?No | buy | 26.24 | $0.381 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.035 | $4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.960 | $14.54 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in no change with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 55.9 | $0.089 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in no change with >2 dissents?Yes | sell | 49.14 | $0.020 | $0.98 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in no change with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 49.15 | $0.142 | $7 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.120 | $7 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?No | buy | 206.09 | $0.010 | $2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.078 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | sell | 33.98 | $0.406 | $13.8 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 33.99 | $0.147 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Yes | buy | 74.29 | $0.067 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes | sell | 24.84 | $0.994 | $24.69 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 401.05 | $0.012 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 104.34 | $0.048 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes | buy | 203.76 | $0.044 | $9 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.27 | $0.410 | $12 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.590 | $12.78 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.67 | $0.600 | $13 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in November?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes | buy | 24.84 | $0.161 | $4 | Nov 23, 2025 |