Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 18 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 260 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 16 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 11.6% on 16 Oct 2025. $1.8M traded over the market's life.
442 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 18 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| booboo | Yes | 63.01K |
| rivermarkets | Yes | 36.63K |
| SBFsnextgf | Yes | 20.66K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Determined-Wife | Yes | 15.33K |
| shinji2 | Yes | 7.06K |
| Swift Atlas 45FA | Yes | 5.62K |
| wtfno | Yes | 5.14K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 5.01K |
| Napoleonno | Yes | 5K |
| nlp. | Yes | 4.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
