Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2025. $22.54K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| lissartter | Yes | 388.8 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Monad launches a token - MetaMask launches a token - Lighter launches a token - Opensea launches a token - Meteora launches a token This market will resolve to “No” if any of the above-specified projects do not launch a token during this market’s above-specified time frame. For a qualifying launch, the token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective projects; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/token-launch-party-parlay
| Yes |
| 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 219 |
| DamianSyjon | Yes | 153.85 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 145 |
| MrC | Yes | 106.38 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Olka | Yes | 85.16 |
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