Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 16 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 5.5% on 17 Sep 2025. $4.89M traded over the market's life.
717 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 18.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Overjoyed-Calico | Yes | 40.36K |
| Rapid Harbor 80B9 | Yes | 33.65K |
| Roshtyyl | Yes | 29.38K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hahahahaa | Yes | 25.07K |
| pmhuman | Yes | 13.84K |
| Cyberbul | Yes | 12.56K |
| Aromatic-Treasure | Yes | 9.91K |
| notdavidaxelrod | Yes | 9.78K |
| Pessimistic-Armoire | Yes | 9.65K |
| sabosscoin | Yes | 9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
