Latest trade
Jan 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
notdavidaxelrod has made $9.18K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:45 PM UTC.
$5.76 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 13 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Oct 27, 2025 UTC to Jan 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.160 | $3.83 | -$21.17 |
 Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texans vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 102.27 | $0.440 | $45 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-19 15:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 14:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 14:45 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-12-19 15:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $30.47K and losing ones cost $17.47K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10.79K on “Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.28K on “Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Jan 2026. It has traded 179 markets. Its open positions are worth $5.33 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.008 |
| $1.5 |
| -$6.5 |
| buy |
| 156.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $25 |
| Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Texans vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Chargers vs. PatriotsChargers | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Chargers vs. PatriotsChargers | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 688.94 | $0.145 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.560 | $2.24 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.560 | $19.04 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.78K | $0.010 | $95.87 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 51.05 | $0.090 | $4.59 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 419.07 | $0.090 | $37.72 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.991 | $297.21 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.090 | $2.24 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.072 | $71.98 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 336.27 | $0.297 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.976 | $292.83 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 55.82 | $0.150 | $8.37 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 44.18 | $0.150 | $6.63 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 50.93 | $0.160 | $8.15 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.160 | $0.34 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 9.95 | $0.160 | $1.59 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.160 | $5.92 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 542.37 | $0.003 | $1.63 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.12 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 53.85 | $0.003 | $0.16 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.003 | $4 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 982.77 | $0.040 | $39.31 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 0.55 | $0.050 | $0.03 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.050 | $0.35 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.050 | $0.68 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.050 | $0.55 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.050 | $7 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.040 | $0.58 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.