
Resolved Yes on 24 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 56% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 24 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 46% on 5 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 99.6% on 20 Dec 2025. $90.92M traded over the market's life.
611 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 24 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 56.0% |
| 24 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FlipProfits | No | 1M |
| RookRider | No | 738.54K |
| Mmmmmmmmy | No | 690.96K |
| Dogerfish | No | 664.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Epstein Files Transparency Act requires the Department of Justice to release all unclassified Epstein-related documents within 30 days of its enactment, setting the legal deadline for publication at 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 19, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein. The following will qualify: -Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed. -Documents that weren’t previously public and contain information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, even if that information was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel) The following will not qualify: -Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content. -Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET). -Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests. -Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Tokabu777 | No | 620.26K |
| Dave33123 | No | 579.85K |
| zihxx | No | 499K |
| Bullieve | No | 402.3K |
| grrrrrr | No | 329.33K |
| loki40 | No | 261.71K |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-release-epstein-files-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page