Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 10 Nov 2025, the highest close was 81.5% on 20 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 64 points down, to 11.5% on 25 Sep 2025. $508.84K traded over the market's life.
327 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 9:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 10 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 59.5% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher160001 | Yes | 3.03K |
| Aikanaro | Yes | 3K |
| Tame-Trunk | Yes | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Costco Wholesale is scheduled to release earnings on 2025-09-25. The Bloomberg consensus estimate for Costco Wholesale's non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $5.82. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Costco Wholesale reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $5.82 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the summary financial earnings press release (Form 8-K) rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If that figure is not included in the Form 8-K, and if Costco Wholesale does not release non-GAAP EPS within 45 calendar days of the scheduled earnings announcement date this market will resolve to "No." Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from the Bloomberg Estimates (BEst EPS:Q) Earnings Per Share (EPS) field. This field reflects the consensus estimate for adjusted earnings per share. The consensus estimate is the mean of sell-side analyst estimates.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cost-beat-earnings-estimate-2025-09-25-5pt82
| Yes |
| 1.5K |
| tehbleh | Yes | 1.29K |
| Quarrelsome-Revenant | Yes | 1.25K |
| TwoEyes | Yes | 1.17K |
| 666js | Yes | 1.07K |
| Strict-Pledge | Yes | 814.86 |
| ObertoTarantino32 | Yes | 683.41 |
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