Analytics
TwoEyes is down $47.66K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | Yes | 16.84K | $0.792 | $15.41K | +$2.08K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$468.71 | $6.27K | 5 | 2 | 50.0% | $899.9 |
| uncategorized | +$1.18M | $3.09M | 4,794 | 576 | 38.9% | $607.3K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 21:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 21:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.03M and losing ones cost $374.36K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $161.4K on “Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?” (No); the largest loss, $94.28K on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
It has traded 633 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($3.09M) and politics ($6.27K). Its open positions are worth $59.89K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50K |
| $0.249 |
| $12.08K |
| -$394.78 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 56.92K | $0.086 | $7.2K | +$2.31K |
 Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 11.76K | $0.126 | $5.82K | +$4.34K |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 9.09K | $0.600 | $5.5K | +$45.43 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 155.47K | $0.202 | $5.05K | -$26.36K |
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 9.53K | $0.253 | $4.39K | +$1.97K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 69.54K | $0.039 | $1.63K | -$1.1K |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 889.32 | $0.838 | $860.42 | +$115.51 |
| Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 785.17 | $0.790 | $643.84 | +$23.56 |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 805.59 | $0.600 | $620.3 | +$136.95 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2K | $0.580 | $410 | -$750 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1K | $0.261 | $125.5 | -$135.5 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 220 | $0.450 | $79.2 | -$19.8 |
 Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 50K | $0.007 | $75 | -$274.97 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.21 | $0.870 | $0.2 | +$0.02 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
