Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 297 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 4 Jul 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 15.5% on 30 Aug 2025. $308.36K traded over the market's life.
239 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 6:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 297 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 26.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| choohkz23 | Yes | 17.19K |
| Peanutbettor | Yes | 10.98K |
| tradeto | Yes | 7.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-pregnant-before-marriage
| Protrad | Yes | 6K |
| Generator | No | 3.65K |
| jamesbond7 | Yes | 2.05K |
| RadarMentions | Yes | 1.65K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 999.99 |
| Lukyyyyyyy | Yes | 920 |
| raileth | Yes | 689.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
