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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.41K | $0.575 | $18.43K | +$4.4K |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 3.57K | $0.840 | $3K | Jun 28, 2026 |
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| No |
| 15.23K |
| $0.723 |
| $13.18K |
| +$2.16K |
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.21K | $0.761 | $5.78K | +$1.05K |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.78K | $0.664 | $4.47K | +$1.29K |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.41K | $0.648 | $2.35K | +$788.8 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.87K | $0.630 | $2.11K | +$301.13 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5.85K | $0.422 | $2.08K | -$391.43 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 410.77 | $0.850 | $406.66 | +$57.51 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 287.59 | $0.740 | $260.27 | +$47.45 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.802 | $123.11 | +$18.85 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.04K | $0.063 | $72.46 | -$56.1 |
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.58 | $0.670 | $43.57 | +$13.04 |
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.760 | $29.1 | +$6.3 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20.06K | $0.005 | $20.06 | -$76.25 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 235.17 | $0.459 | $17.64 | -$90.26 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.79 | $0.490 | $8.37 | +$3.57 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.982 |
| $1.96K |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.890 | $935.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.59 | $0.650 | $72.53 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 425.97 | $0.780 | $332.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 104.4 | $0.943 | $98.42 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 156 | $0.890 | $138.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Independence" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 672 | $0.814 | $547 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 682.87 | $0.958 | $654.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.989 | $63.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 125.59 | $0.934 | $117.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 118.64 | $0.798 | $94.73 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 596.95 | $0.974 | $581.54 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 40 | $0.675 | $27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 93.09 | $0.702 | $65.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 76.04 | $0.709 | $53.93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 128 | $0.592 | $75.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 295 | $0.629 | $185.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 30 | $0.747 | $22.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 194.24 | $0.950 | $184.53 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.962 | $99.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.99K | $0.650 | $13.64K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.130 | $1.3K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.47K | $0.760 | $10.24K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.770 | $968.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.965 | $2.46K | Jun 14, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 88.51 | $0.966 | $85.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 44.28 | $0.995 | $44.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 2.72K | $0.880 | $2.39K | Jun 12, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.910 | $970.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 5.56K | $0.940 | $5.22K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 7.36K | $0.940 | $6.92K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 2K | $0.470 | $940 | Jun 11, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No | buy | 183.75 | $0.820 | $150.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No | buy | 342 | $0.890 | $304.38 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 958.23 | $0.930 | $891.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 3.55K | $0.630 | $2.24K | Jun 4, 2026 |
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs | buy | 480 | $0.380 | $182.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.063 | $123.89 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.75 | $0.802 | $103.26 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.890 | $916.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 460.17 | $0.860 | $395.75 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.37 | $0.102 | $6.36 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?No | buy | 15 | $0.994 | $14.91 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Thunder vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 2K | $0.580 | $1.16K | May 23, 2026 |
Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.17K | May 20, 2026 |
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers | buy | 2K | $0.840 | $1.68K | May 18, 2026 |