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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.037 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025Yes | buy | 741.22 | $0.302 | $223.79 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 137.38 |
| $0.007 |
| $1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.81 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Yes | buy | 93.6 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.53 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.041 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.3 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 155.17 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?Yes | buy | 145.11 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 33.42 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| X relaunches Vine in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.71 | $0.051 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?Yes | buy | 88.69 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q4 2025Yes | buy | 72.13 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | buy | 74.64 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 17.79 | $0.056 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Wealthfront IPO before 2027?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 117.76 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?Yes | buy | 145.13 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.86 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.38 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 222.64 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Samsung release a trifold phone by January 31?No | buy | 85.74 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?No | buy | 116.86 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.077 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.157 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.17 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 98.31 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |