Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 338 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 8 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 66 points down, to 2.9% on 3 May 2025. $1.38M traded over the market's life.
282 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 338 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 73.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferthertrth | Yes | 135.89K |
| Immense-Barbecue | Yes | 10.33K |
| Enlightened-Reset | Yes | 5.58K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| MyLige | Yes | 1.66K |
| Bagua | Yes | 1.64K |
| Mako1 | Yes | 1.25K |
| Blond-Plight | Yes | 1.25K |
| OSL | Yes | 1.16K |
| vads | Yes | 999.98 |
| AllexSise | Yes | 968.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
