Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 263 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 17 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $205.07K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 15 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lissartter | Yes | 3.72K |
| kingruhllord | Yes | 1K |
| Crispy22 | Yes | 500 |
This market refers to the case Federal Trade Commission v. Meta Platforms, Inc., Case No. 1:20-cv-03590-JEB, in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta Platforms, Inc. formally announces it will or is legally compelled to divest or sell its Instagram and/or WhatsApp platforms, either partially or entirely, due to regulatory or legal action by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first decision rendered in the ongoing case Federal Trade Commission v. Meta Platforms, Inc., or announcement from Meta Platforms of a sale regardless of whether that decision is subsequently challenged or whether that sale actually takes place. If the FTC announces they are dropping the ongoing antitrust case against Meta Platforms, Inc., or if the Federal Trade Commission v. Meta Platforms, Inc. case is settled without requiring divestiture, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta Platforms, Inc. and/or the US courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-meta-be-forced-to-sell-instagram-or-whatsapp-in-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 409 |
| mneybrrrrr | Yes | 245.05 |
| Frieme | Yes | 226.28 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| power1337 | Yes | 185.29 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
