Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 128 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 75.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 59 points down, to 8% on 16 Oct 2025. $1.58M traded over the market's life.
217 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 35.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ocneooaindoiadn | Yes | 8.38K |
| SubjectToChange | Yes | 4.38K |
| 99c | Yes | 2.61K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-vision-pro-2-be-released-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| Babyish-Cartel | Yes | 2.02K |
| Praxia | Yes | 1.48K |
| hashquant | Yes | 1.21K |
| shaanbsn | Yes | 1.04K |
| KenKAM | Yes | 1K |
| bondoor | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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