Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 96.5% on 28 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 69% on 10 Sep 2025. $29.62K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 79.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jabreu | Yes | 668 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 379.61 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new AirTag product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "AirTag" and be recognized as a successor to the original AirTag product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new AirTag product released without a number, under a designation other than AirTag 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the AirTag and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.apple.com/newsroom/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-airtag-2-this-year
| Yes |
| 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 230.99 |
| 0xgingergirl | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 172.99 |
| cda59e0b-9b1d-4101-8f9d-30ab1220e3a8 | Yes | 166.13 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 138.24 |
| awki | Yes | 120.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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