Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 79% on 24 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 87.5% on 3 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 52% on 24 Jul 2025. $338.97K traded over the market's life.
220 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 254 points · 24 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2025 | 79.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuPontDisciple | Yes | 12.25K |
| FlagPole | Yes | 3.98K |
| acascuseme | Yes | 3.27K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT reaches 1 billion monthly active users (MAUs) during by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PMET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of reputable sources including, major analytics firms (e.g. Similarweb, Sensor Tower), investor or regulatory disclosures, or reputable media may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-chatgpt-reach-1b-monthly-active-users-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| llmfangirl | Yes | 3.01K |
| wkly | Yes | 1.64K |
| Onamiko2864 | Yes | 894.47 |
| Tomos | No | 532.51 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 530 |
| Cobalt Comet 3A5E | Yes | 502.99 |
| The.BadianOne | Yes | 399.93 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
