Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 185 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 86% on 11 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 86% on 11 Sep 2025. $1.13M traded over the market's life.
316 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 27.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is any rank other than #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at any point between June 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If this source becomes permanently unavailable in that time period, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If both sources become permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/musk-no-longer-richest-person-in-the-world-by-end-of-year
| Ishhy | Yes | 1.76K |
| BeN | Yes | 1.71K |
| 0xaaa | Yes | 1K |
| masterbettor | Yes | 1K |
| genghisbrain | Yes | 899.99 |
| bondoor | No | 500 |
| ggcooks | Yes | 454.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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