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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 16.9K | $0.500 | $12.84K | +$4.39K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.998 | $2.54K | May 25, 2026 |
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| No |
| 11.48K |
| $0.944 |
| $11.34K |
| +$506.65 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17K | $0.500 | $4.09K | -$4.41K |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3.4K | $0.918 | $3.06K | -$54.11 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2.7K | $0.855 | $2.61K | +$300.41 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.845 | $1.17K | +$160.8 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.910 | $983.5 | +$73.5 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 800 | $0.929 | $775.6 | +$32.06 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.910 | $484.74 | +$29.75 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 332.97 | $0.900 | $316.65 | +$16.98 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $191 | +$45 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 117.16 | $0.913 | $112.3 | +$5.37 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.430 | $105 | +$19 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.450 | $77 | -$13 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 599.74 | $0.166 | $35.98 | -$63.61 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 399.9 | $0.170 | $28.99 | -$39.19 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.570 | $14.5 | -$42.5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.120 | $13 | -$11 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 3.02 | $0.958 | $2.95 | +$0.06 |
Canva IPO before 2027? | Yes | 84.97 | $0.429 | $2.59 | -$33.9 |
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.060 | $2.14 | +$1.78 |
| buy |
| 2.49K |
| $0.918 |
| $2.29K |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.66K | $0.953 | $2.54K | May 22, 2026 |
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.540 | $4.32 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 134.36 | $0.545 | $73.17 | May 14, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.917 | $165.06 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 629.88 | $0.009 | $5.67 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 260.72 | $0.540 | $140.79 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 126.79 | $0.530 | $67.2 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 38.55 | $0.192 | $7.4 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 245.18 | $0.002 | $0.49 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 181.36 | $0.190 | $34.46 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 137.26 | $0.188 | $25.78 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 204 | $0.317 | $64.61 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 390.49 | $0.290 | $113.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 218.35 | $0.577 | $125.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 88.16 | $0.570 | $50.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 606.11 | $0.930 | $563.68 | Mar 10, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.860 | $1.27K | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.999 | $3.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?Yes | buy | 37.9 | $0.999 | $37.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.986 | $1.62K | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.7K | $0.984 | $2.66K | Mar 4, 2026 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.14K | $0.001 | $2.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.114 | $2.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.959 | $959 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 820.09 | $0.964 | $790.57 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.917 | $183.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.621 | $124.24 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 632.97 | $0.900 | $569.67 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.920 | $17.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 147.92 | $0.834 | $123.38 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Sheila Garrity win the 2026 Galway West by-election?No | buy | 76.11 | $0.868 | $66.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.994 | $248.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.903 | $5.69 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 10K | $0.961 | $9.61K | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 200 | $0.969 | $193.8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.610 | $56.12 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No | buy | 155 | $0.610 | $94.55 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No | buy | 805.88 | $0.610 | $491.59 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.640 | $131.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 629.88 | $0.850 | $535.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.800 | $1.01K | Feb 11, 2026 |