Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12% on 1 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 277 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 34% on 2 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 34% on 2 Jul 2025. $19.2K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 277 points, 1 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2025 | 12.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 504.53 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 277 |
| lissartter | Yes | 193 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189.99 |
| power1337 | Yes | 181.29 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 164.99 |
| cowcat | Yes | 103.18 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| ottik | Yes | 88.86 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 49.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
