Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 20 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 19.5% on 22 Oct 2025. $257.95K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 77 points · 18 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| Indigo Vector 3C7C | Yes | 1.02K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ocneooaindoiadn | Yes | 446.12 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 440 |
| VeRoN | Yes | 406.73 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 247 |
| gregui | Yes | 188.18 |
| mixedklansmen | Yes | 148.59 |
