Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 13 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 296 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 6 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 20.5% on 6 Jun 2025. $863.84K traded over the market's life.
356 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 296 points, 13 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| testinprod | Yes | 70.54K |
| WhatAmIDoing | Yes | 10K |
| Margaritaville | Yes | 2.76K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between March 12, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/musk-out-as-tesla-ceo-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Goalie | No | 2.25K |
| Tower-Union | Yes | 2.13K |
| dsgdfhet34 | Yes | 1.47K |
| eec93 | Yes | 1.4K |
| c4t4 | Yes | 1K |
| memerie | Yes | 655 |
| DutchX | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
