Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.179 | $250 | May 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 231.94 |
| $0.720 |
| $167 |
| May 1, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 377.21 | $0.133 | $50 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 607.97 | $0.164 | $100 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?No | buy | 621.07 | $0.805 | $500 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 4?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1.88K | $0.930 | $1.75K | Mar 30, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | sell | 343.26 | $0.986 | $338.59 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 5.67K | $0.910 | $5.16K | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.931 | $2K | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 231.94 | $0.431 | $100 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 469.39 | $0.639 | $300 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.392 | $1K | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 262.47 | $0.190 | $50 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.680 | $1K | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.615 | $2.5K | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.029 | $30 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval before April?No | buy | 947.46 | $0.106 | $100 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 343.26 | $0.728 | $250 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 512.82 | $0.390 | $200 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.440 | $500 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26K | $0.121 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.272 | $2.72K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.24K | $0.328 | $5K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.29K | $0.304 | $1K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 470.86 | $0.212 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.460 | $23K | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 28.38K | $0.352 | $10K | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.5K | $0.383 | $9K | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Helene" during the debate?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.16K | $0.497 | $2.57K | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.497 | $2.49K | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 311.54 | $0.642 | $200 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.024 | $26.67 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.492 | $2.5K | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.492 | $2.5K | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.024 | $100 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 657.89 | $0.380 | $250 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released before October?No | buy | 621.16 | $0.322 | $200 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.040 | $50 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 US adds between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 407.2 | $0.246 | $100 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| US adds between 150k and 200k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 719.43 | $0.347 | $250 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 586.05 | $0.427 | $250 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released before October?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.283 | $500 | Aug 28, 2024 |