Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

worldActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

60.4%

39.6%

Yes costs 60.35¢No costs 39.65¢

24h Volume

$328.5K

Total volume

$328.5K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	9.95K	0.0%	$0
buoys	Yes	3.31K	38.8%	$1.28K	Oct 1, 11:31 AM UTC
katbot	Yes	2.72K	63.7%	$1.73K	Oct 4, 6:53 PM UTC
paddaa	Yes	2.5K	9.7%	$242.79
RememberAmalek	Yes	1.31K	36.0%	$471.88
l39sm34812391js831	Yes	1.11K	66.3%	$735.31	Oct 3, 10:48 PM UTC
crypto-basenji	No	847.84	35.8%	$303.34	Aug 19, 4:38 AM UTC
filthymudeok	No	579.67	41.9%	$243.02	Aug 26, 1:37 PM UTC
plsnolose	Yes	461.53	6.5%	$30
Mikelaawrey	No	453.93	62.5%	$283.66
frozenriver	No	409.95	52.0%	$213.17
GidGud	No	400.79	55.3%	$221.64	Oct 20, 10:55 AM UTC
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	400.62	22.5%	$90.23	Jul 30, 2:19 PM UTC
nufonehudis67	Yes	389.56	8.4%	$32.6	Sep 17, 8:14 PM UTC
LornaPredicts	Yes	356	14.1%	$50.04
GollumGekko	Yes	322	7.7%	$24.9
randomlypunting	No	299.99	74.0%	$221.99
Konfucious	Yes	257.54	63.1%	$162.56	Oct 7, 5:41 AM UTC
avon5	No	244.12	55.2%	$134.75
Robbb	No	223.19	73.7%	$164.48
xtxpleasecallme	No	215.6	33.7%	$72.74	Oct 23, 12:58 AM UTC
System-Error404	Yes	198.77	50.3%	$100	Aug 1, 3:34 PM UTC
GuyFromTinder	No	189	56.4%	$106.6
ACara	Yes	180.4	23.5%	$42.43
Keen Raven 4392	No	160.83	62.2%	$100
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	156.25	60.7%	$94.86	Sep 30, 8:50 PM UTC
JohnP92	No	143.12	63.9%	$91.5
ghorrock	Yes	137.93	7.0%	$9.73
flowfever	No	106.22	65.3%	$69.32
lucid-for15min-NEXUS-amused-flipper	Yes	100	61.7%	$61.68	Oct 21, 1:59 AM UTC
Blaring-Backdrop	Yes	100	23.5%	$23.5
tinman2	Yes	100	31.9%	$31.9
Physical-Fulfillment	Yes	89.34	28.0%	$25
Mithrandir.	No	80	48.8%	$39
Hakei.	No	79.74	59.4%	$47.33
Cassiopeian	Yes	63.54	0.0%	$0
sigmaJ67	No	62.5	32.0%	$20	Aug 13, 5:19 AM UTC
ProfitMuhammedPBUH	No	60.49	72.7%	$44
PMPAndrew	Yes	57.47	43.5%	$25
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	56.91	47.1%	$26.8
Trusting-Pea	Yes	53.19	18.8%	$10
simplystupid188	Yes	52.34	37.0%	$19.38
donthackme	No	41.35	34.3%	$14.18	Jul 30, 2:20 PM UTC
V4grant	Yes	38.52	64.9%	$25	Aug 31, 11:06 AM UTC
noise126trader	No	37.29	76.9%	$28.66
banan	No	31.8	62.9%	$20
badgurl2007	Yes	30	14.0%	$4.2
e46m3	No	27.94	34.7%	$9.7	Oct 22, 5:42 PM UTC
Ivory Kestrel CD43	No	25.53	78.3%	$20
Abadi20206	Yes	23.04	65.1%	$15	Oct 10, 5:13 PM UTC
ivanrdawson	Yes	20.23	23.7%	$4.8
Keen Horizon 0805	Yes	20	63.3%	$12.66
Raketa09	Yes	20	38.1%	$7.63
AdamR8	Yes	16.71	35.9%	$6
Brisk-Scratch-Analogy	Yes	16.18	30.9%	$5
Keen-Nectar	Yes	16.18	30.9%	$5
Nonstop-Tailspin	No	15	60.7%	$9.11
pecepe	No	15	62.0%	$9.3
Filthy-Algorithm	No	13.61	73.5%	$10
Bossy-Impression	Yes	12.11	66.0%	$8	Sep 8, 5:18 PM UTC
Coral Meteor 2B1A	Yes	11.58	25.9%	$3
spacexstar	No	11	34.7%	$3.82
qWOprt7	Yes	10.24	9.8%	$1
RuneMorrow	Yes	10.2	39.2%	$4
Honored-Elver	No	10	33.8%	$3.38
abc1231112441	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
denso	Yes	10	50.0%	$5
Sweltering-Freezer	Yes	8.69	11.5%	$1
Jade Vector CF97	No	7.85	63.7%	$5
moonrise-clump	No	7.75	64.5%	$5
steverichie	No	7.71	64.8%	$5
mrblarg64	Yes	7.69	39.0%	$3
human.bean	Yes	6	5.0%	$0.3
Rapid Horizon 985D	No	5.96	35.0%	$2.09	Sep 13, 1:00 PM UTC
mcvmm	No	5.32	35.2%	$1.87
123987456	Yes	5.29	58.6%	$3.1	Oct 21, 3:31 AM UTC
constantinskuratovbelsky	No	5	74.1%	$3.71
Possible-Alternative-Aluminum	No	5	46.5%	$2.33
Radiant-Nonbeliever	No	5	65.5%	$3.27
Stingy-Shoulder	No	5	33.3%	$1.67
Huge-Rest	No	5	34.5%	$1.73	Aug 13, 3:35 PM UTC
Sophisticated-Habitat	Yes	5	14.0%	$0.7
Evador	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
PanD13	Yes	4.78	20.9%	$1
JoE	No	4.02	78.7%	$3.16
DFarm	Yes	3.9	0.1%	$0
Perreswe	Yes	3.25	30.8%	$1
Royal Summit 6E6B	Yes	2.94	68.0%	$2	Aug 6, 11:11 AM UTC
Rapid Voyager F13B	Yes	2.87	34.9%	$1
ChessBet	Yes	2.77	36.1%	$1
25oodksmsss09	Yes	2.44	49.5%	$1.21	Aug 7, 4:00 AM UTC
Speedy-Spouse	No	2.41	82.9%	$2
haveagoodday	Yes	1.89	9.3%	$0.18
hspje89	No	1.64	61.0%	$1
Misty Horizon A90C	No	1.58	63.1%	$1
winexecutescale	No	1.43	32.9%	$0.47
acc-5	No	1.37	83.4%	$1.14
reuven	No	1.35	74.1%	$1
gonnakilmyslf	No	1	46.3%	$0.46
Golden Lynx 44F3	Yes	1	15.5%	$0.16
romanew-cryp	Yes	0.94	41.8%	$0.39
Rapid Harbor BB70	Yes	0.94	46.0%	$0.43	Jul 21, 12:03 AM UTC
Whirlwind-Exploration	Yes	0.86	63.4%	$0.55
Coral Voyager 2F05	Yes	0.86	47.0%	$0.4	Jul 20, 7:22 PM UTC
Biggogo123	Yes	0.76	16.9%	$0.13
Ivory Pulse 8E34	Yes	0.66	47.0%	$0.31	Aug 9, 2:38 AM UTC
rocky42019	Yes	0.58	39.8%	$0.23	Jul 23, 10:38 PM UTC
rocky42019	No	0.54	52.3%	$0.28	Jul 23, 10:38 PM UTC
50sad	Yes	0.52	59.6%	$0.31	Aug 7, 4:00 AM UTC
Royal Meteor 2BFC	Yes	0.49	46.0%	$0.23	Jul 21, 12:02 AM UTC
15rob	No	0.44	82.4%	$0.36
Coral Voyager 0FA5	Yes	0.32	18.3%	$0.06
balthazar	Yes	0.32	6.2%	$0.02
LetTheGoodTimesRoll	Yes	0.27	4.4%	$0.01
probthinker1	Yes	0.2	45.9%	$0.09	Aug 13, 3:14 AM UTC
Lavincey	No	0.12	66.0%	$0.08	Oct 22, 1:12 AM UTC

116 of 116 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$3.95K
buoys	$2K
katbot	$1.64K

Topic room

Read this market in context

US Economy oddsWill the US enter a recession?

What to watch in US Economy

Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
Weekly jobless claims between reports

Upcoming in this topic

10 Nov 2026CPI for October 2026, 8:30 a.m. Eastern
10 Dec 2026CPI for November 2026, 8:30 a.m. Eastern

Research behind the numbers

How well Polymarket prices match outcomes

Analytics