Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.470 | $8.56 | +$3.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 27d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 111.11 |
| $0.045 |
| $5.28 |
| +$0.28 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 3.25 | $0.308 | $2.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.450 | $1.93 | -$4.07 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 6.49 | $0.770 | $0.97 | -$4.03 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 613.33 | $0.045 | $0.92 | -$26.58 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.090 | $0.88 | -$2.12 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.267 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.045 |
| $5 |
| 27d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.950 | $2.38 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.764 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.162 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.181 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETDown | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.890 | $4.59 | May 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.380 | $9.04 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.449 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.025 | $0.83 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.267 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.72 | $0.582 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 23 | $0.043 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |