Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 819.67 | $0.610 | $418.03 | -$81.97 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 305.62 |
| $0.818 |
| $245.57 |
| -$4.43 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 260.41 | $0.900 | $233.07 | -$1.3 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 352.11 | $0.710 | $227.11 | -$22.89 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.920 | $218.75 | -$11.25 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 566.48 | $0.553 | $213.28 | -$99.98 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 285.71 | $0.700 | $192.85 | -$7.14 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 262.32 | $0.931 | $164.87 | -$79.35 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 170.81 | $0.750 | $121.27 | -$6.83 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 166.66 | $0.600 | $99.16 | -$0.83 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 258.46 | $0.540 | $91.75 | -$47.82 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? | No | 89.49 | $0.880 | $77.41 | -$1.34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 146.58 | $0.570 | $74.75 | -$8.79 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 57.82 | $0.770 | $42.5 | -$2.02 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $41.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 50 | $0.908 | $34.7 | -$10.7 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | Yes | 66.66 | $0.750 | $31.66 | -$18.33 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $12.9 | -$4.9 |
 Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | No | 20 | $0.894 | $9.69 | -$8.19 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $8.3 | -$9.1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 12.45 | $0.500 | $4.86 | -$1.37 |
 Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $4 | -$13.8 |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $3.3 | -$15.1 |
 Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.070 | $0.6 | -$0.8 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 9? | Down | 39.21 | $0.560 | $0.49 | -$21.47 |
| sell |
| 162.87 |
| $0.038 |
| $6.16 |
| 14h ago |
 Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | 14h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.037 | $0.74 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.370 | $5.92 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 34.75 | $0.370 | $12.86 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.610 | $6.11 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | sell | 4.43 | $0.790 | $3.5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | sell | 3.1 | $0.800 | $2.48 | 1d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Yes | sell | 46.84 | $0.025 | $1.17 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.87 | $0.040 | $0.15 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 15.77 | $0.860 | $13.56 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.846 | $13.21 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.020 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 324.81 | $0.570 | $185.14 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 25.16 | $0.580 | $14.59 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 33.23 | $0.600 | $19.94 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 3d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 502.5 | $0.968 | $486.42 | 3d ago |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.881 | $0.82 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.920 | $2.97 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.720 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 54.49 | $0.700 | $38.14 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 36.04 | $0.690 | $24.87 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 221 | $0.514 | $113.5 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 12.86 | $0.550 | $7.07 | 5d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 4?Up | sell | 3.21 | $0.012 | $0.04 | 5d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.800 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 5d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.520 | $4.52 | 6d ago |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Yes | sell | 66.68 | $0.870 | $58.01 | 6d ago |
 Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.650 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 24.9 | $0.670 | $16.68 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.028 | $5.38 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.059 | $0.59 | 6d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?Up | sell | 0.32 | $0.660 | $0.21 | 7d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 7d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 199 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 7d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 200 and 299 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.823 | $16.46 | 7d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?Down | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 7d ago |