Analytics
Cassiopeian is down $102K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 72.71K | $0.019 | $2.18K | +$812.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-06 05:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 12:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 12:18 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-06 05:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $99.02K and losing ones cost $25.82K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $29.5K on “Will the US strike Somalia next?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.95K on “LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner” (Gen.G).
It has traded 161 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.22K across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 5K |
| $0.110 |
| $802.5 |
| +$252.5 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | No | 269.46 | $0.902 | $187.27 | -$55.69 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 63.54 | $0.000 | $38.31 | +$38.31 |
| Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | Yes | 555.7 | $0.000 | $2.22 | +$2.22 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 161.54 | $0.000 | $1.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? | Yes | 991.54 | $0.000 | $1.49 | +$1.49 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? | Yes | 127.35 | $0.000 | $0.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 93.54 | $0.000 | $0.33 | +$0.33 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
