Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 256.28 | $0.916 | $239.75 | +$4.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.202 | $1.22 | 7m ago |
 |
| No |
| 218.15 |
| $0.728 |
| $217.06 |
| +$58.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 10? | No | 162.47 | $0.975 | $161.98 | +$3.63 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 187.52 | $0.283 | $104.07 | +$51.01 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.32K | $0.101 | $39.93 | -$500.41 |
 Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 42.5 | $0.918 | $39.38 | +$0.37 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 65.87 | $0.604 | $37.22 | -$2.58 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 56.78 | $0.626 | $35.63 | +$0.08 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 256.28 | $0.061 | $32.16 | +$16.53 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.033 | $20.36 | +$19.49 |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 16.92 | $0.920 | $16.81 | +$1.24 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 33.94 | $0.506 | $16.38 | -$0.8 |
 Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 26.01 | $0.716 | $15.09 | -$3.52 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 146 | $0.031 | $12.48 | +$7.92 |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 13.27 | $0.943 | $12.48 | -$0.03 |
 Will Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | Yes | 83 | $0.023 | $10.38 | +$8.44 |
 Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | No | 9.68 | $0.959 | $9.45 | +$0.16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108°F or higher on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.999 | $9.36 | -$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.990 | $9.29 | $0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.940 | $9.05 | +$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.970 | $9 | -$0.09 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.47K | $0.031 | $8.95 | -$130.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.890 | $8.49 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.880 | $8.4 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 11? | No | 9.38 | $0.845 | $7.74 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 34.61 |
| $0.999 |
| $34.58 |
| 12m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 10?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.998 | $1.52 | 14m ago |
 Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates | buy | 2.05 | $0.969 | $1.99 | 17m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 10?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.971 | $10.94 | 29m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.660 | $1.44 | 29m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 10?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.990 | $24.15 | 29m ago |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.921 | $9.48 | 34m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.866 | $4.47 | 36m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.850 | $7.79 | 37m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 10?No | buy | 2 | $0.989 | $1.98 | 38m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.507 | $2.56 | 38m ago |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?No | buy | 20.44 | $0.420 | $8.58 | 40m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.140 | $0.46 | 41m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.880 | $4.51 | 42m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 28.37 | $0.500 | $14.19 | 45m ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.533 | $4.8 | 49m ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.977 | $20.04 | 53m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.950 | $7.7 | 59m ago |
| Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)New York Yankees | buy | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | 1h ago |
| Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)New York Yankees | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | 1h ago |
 Colorado Rockies vs. New York YankeesColorado Rockies | buy | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York YankeesColorado Rockies | buy | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York YankeesColorado Rockies | buy | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York YankeesColorado Rockies | buy | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?No | buy | 20.42 | $0.930 | $18.99 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.998 | $5.15 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 10?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.997 | $2.12 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.998 | $5.01 | 1h ago |
 Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-09-12?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.760 | $3.81 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.950 | $4.92 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.930 | $4.66 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 11?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.900 | $7.25 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.900 | $9.31 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 9?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.940 | $15.66 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 11?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.990 | $4.57 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 9?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.230 | $2.35 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.999 | $8.07 | 1h ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.920 | $7.4 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 10?No | sell | 36.59 | $0.999 | $36.55 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.910 | $6.38 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 10?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | 1h ago |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 20.29 | $0.480 | $9.74 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.310 | $1 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on September 9?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.009 | $0.06 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.992 | $4.99 | 2h ago |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.792 | $1.37 | 2h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 13.03 | $0.020 | $0.26 | 2h ago |