Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 4.89 | $0.900 | $4.01 | -$0.39 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3 |
| $0.930 |
| $3 |
| +$0.21 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.560 | $2.4 | -$0.26 |
 Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 2.06 | $0.420 | $1.77 | +$0.91 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.99 | $0.874 | $0.91 | +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.625 | $0.72 | +$0.09 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 0.8 | $0.820 | $0.65 | -$0 |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.494 | $0.62 | +$0.25 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 0.63 | $0.530 | $0.59 | +$0.25 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.350 | $0.54 | +$0.19 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 0.86 | $0.634 | $0.54 | -$0.01 |
 Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.420 | $0.51 | +$0.1 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.820 | $0.49 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.79 | $0.810 | $0.49 | -$0.15 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 0.78 | $0.592 | $0.49 | +$0.03 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.53 | $0.510 | $0.46 | +$0.19 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.85 | $0.467 | $0.43 | +$0.03 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | No | 0.9 | $0.582 | $0.43 | -$0.09 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.570 | $0.43 | +$0.15 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | No | 0.54 | $0.370 | $0.38 | +$0.19 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.93 | $0.380 | $0.36 | +$0 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.33 | $0.995 | $0.33 | -$0 |
 Will Marcelo Castro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.450 | $0.33 | -$0.11 |
 Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.501 | $0.31 | -$0.02 |
 Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | No | 0.82 | $0.517 | $0.28 | -$0.14 |
| sell |
| 242 |
| $0.007 |
| $1.69 |
| 14d ago |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No | sell | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | 14d ago |
 Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.320 | $4.16 | 14d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.798 | $3.99 | 14d ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | 14d ago |
 Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | sell | 19 | $0.400 | $7.6 | 14d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.510 | $8.16 | 14d ago |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | sell | 26 | $0.520 | $13.52 | 14d ago |
 Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.350 | $15.4 | 14d ago |
 Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.290 | $16.53 | 14d ago |
| Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.320 | $17.6 | 14d ago |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 26.57 | $0.430 | $11.43 | 14d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | 14d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?No | sell | 40 | $0.575 | $23 | 14d ago |
| Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 44 | $0.600 | $26.4 | 14d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.380 | $16.34 | 14d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 58 | $0.590 | $34.22 | 14d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 70 | $0.516 | $36.12 | 14d ago |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?No | sell | 101 | $0.480 | $48.48 | 14d ago |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 87 | $0.590 | $51.33 | 14d ago |
 Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 14d ago |
 Will Héctor Javier Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 14d ago |
| Will Héctor Javier Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 14d ago |
 Will the season series between the 49ers and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 14d ago |
| Will the season series between the 49ers and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 14d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 14d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | 14d ago |
 Will the Broncos win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 14d ago |
| Will the Broncos win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 14d ago |
 Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 14d ago |
 Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 14d ago |
| Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 14d ago |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 14d ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 14d ago |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 14d ago |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 14d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | 14d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 14d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 14d ago |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 14d ago |
 Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 14d ago |