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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 546.13 | $0.366 | $259.41 | +$59.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.690 | $5 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 303.09 |
| $0.715 |
| $235.35 |
| +$18.54 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 211.2 | $0.521 | $104.54 | -$5.43 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 186.01 | $0.671 | $101.1 | -$23.81 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 145.3 | $0.653 | $93.72 | -$1.2 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 77.99 | $0.735 | $73.97 | +$16.66 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 255.32 | $0.313 | $67.66 | -$12.29 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 48.92 | $0.407 | $45.47 | +$25.55 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 58.91 | $0.339 | $31.52 | +$11.53 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 42.86 | $0.700 | $31.07 | +$1.08 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 59.09 | $0.593 | $31.02 | -$3.99 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 28.92 | $0.723 | $26.75 | +$5.85 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 55.21 | $0.633 | $25.67 | -$9.3 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 29.75 | $0.669 | $21.87 | +$1.96 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 22.7 | $0.657 | $21.22 | +$6.32 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 23.37 | $0.642 | $19.98 | +$4.99 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 19.53 | $0.767 | $19.51 | +$4.53 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 39.92 | $0.626 | $18.56 | -$6.43 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 18.38 | $0.761 | $18.26 | +$4.27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 38.89 | $0.288 | $17.75 | +$6.55 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 19.46 | $0.770 | $16.97 | +$1.98 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 21.93 | $0.683 | $14.22 | -$0.77 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 15.43 | $0.647 | $13.19 | +$3.2 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.71 | $0.718 | $12.62 | +$0.63 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 14 | $0.462 | $11.9 | +$5.43 |
| buy |
| 7.24 |
| $0.690 |
| $5 |
| 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.250 | $4.17 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.260 | $4.33 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 5d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.69 | $0.747 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.280 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.651 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.651 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.15 | $0.380 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.15 | $0.380 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.645 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.290 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.290 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.340 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.310 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.767 | $4.99 | 16d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.766 | $4.99 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.448 | $4.96 | 17d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.764 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.715 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.709 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.669 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 18d ago |