What is the “Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 3.5¢ and No at 96.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.5% for Yes and 96.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($20.77K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($20.34K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 35 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 92.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 29, 10:20 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-kuwait-recognize-israel-by-december-31Updated 2m ago

worldActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCsyriayemen

Yes

3.5%

96.5%

Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢

24h Volume

$20.8K

Liquidity

$20.3K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

3.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

3.5%

96.5%

24h volume

$20.77K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 3.5¢

Open in terminal$20.77K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

5m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.6%

Observed

2m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

3.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

92%

Yes / No shares

5.97K / 5.97K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

241

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
QMG-CORE	No	4.74K	93.1%	$4.74K	Sep 17, 10:38 AM UTC
RememberAmalek	Yes	3.35K	8.8%	$3.96K

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Iran–Israel oddsWhat are the odds of war between Israel and Iran?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 3.5¢ and No at 96.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.5% for Yes and 96.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($20.77K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($20.34K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

QMG-CORE

4.74K

93.1%

$4.74K

Sep 17, 10:38 AM UTC

RememberAmalek

Yes

3.35K

8.8%

$3.96K

Trader	Current holding value
QMG-CORE	$4.57K
Darling-Top	$384.07
Elias.Thornwell	$211.61
WeJustBettin	$200
il1	$192.86
RememberAmalek	$117.32
Golden Signal D11F	$109.54
Rural-Cockpit	$25
Broken-Cashew	$22.87
yannfournier	$20.53
vbm	$19.29
rafb	$14.22