Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20.62 | $0.970 | $19.63 | -$0.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 209.52 |
| $0.118 |
| $17.81 |
| -$6.89 |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 103.22 | $0.220 | $14.45 | -$8.26 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.497 | $10.6 | +$0.67 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $7.33 | -$2.67 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.261 | $5.42 | +$2.42 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $4.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 9.26 | $0.540 | $4.03 | -$0.97 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 75 | $0.107 | $3.75 | -$4.3 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.205 | $2.78 | -$27.92 |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $1.98 | -$1.23 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $1.97 | -$1.04 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.032 | $1.95 | -$3.05 |
 Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 30 | $0.080 | $1.95 | -$0.45 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.120 | $1.42 | -$3.38 |
 Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.060 | $1.41 | -$2.19 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.200 | $1.2 | -$2.8 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.190 | $1.1 | -$0.8 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.170 | $1.09 | -$0.67 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.210 | $1.08 | -$1.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $0.85 | -$0.85 |
 Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.83 | -$1.17 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.060 | $0.48 | -$0.72 |
| sell |
| 12.27 |
| $0.170 |
| $2.09 |
| 11d ago |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.670 | $1.91 | 14d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.910 | $5.34 | 21d ago |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.030 | $0.57 | 23d ago |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.170 | $1.76 | 24d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 43.46 | $0.069 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 159.52 | $0.125 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" during his Executive Order signing?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.450 | $4.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.200 | $3.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.010 | $0.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 103.77 | $0.085 | $8.78 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 103.22 | $0.220 | $22.71 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 67.33 | $0.037 | $2.49 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 103.77 | $0.090 | $9.34 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.69 | $0.110 | $11.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.007 | $0.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.8 | $0.017 | $1.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.106 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 67.33 | $0.030 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.261 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.941 | $2.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.963 | $1.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | sell | 63.67 | $0.060 | $3.82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.180 | $1.12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | buy | 567.47 | $0.140 | $79.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.110 | $1.65 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | sell | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |