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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 104.28 | $0.959 | $101.41 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 6d ago |
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| Yes |
| 54.12 |
| $0.961 |
| $53.63 |
| +$1.62 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 51.02 | $0.980 | $49.97 | -$0.03 |
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 41.93 | $0.954 | $40.15 | +$0.15 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | Nothing | 42.16 | $0.949 | $39.42 | -$0.58 |
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 37.99 | $0.921 | $36.64 | +$1.64 |
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 36.32 | $0.964 | $34.7 | -$0.3 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 31.5 | $0.952 | $31.28 | +$1.28 |
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | No | 32.36 | $0.927 | $30.99 | +$0.99 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 31.12 | $0.964 | $30.64 | +$0.64 |
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30.34 | +$0.34 |
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 31.38 | $0.956 | $29.59 | -$0.41 |
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 39.68 | $0.630 | $24.01 | -$0.99 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 62.67 | $0.399 | $22.25 | -$2.75 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20.43 | +$0.43 |
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20.17 | +$0.17 |
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20.11 | +$0.11 |
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20.1 | +$0.1 |
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 20.77 | $0.963 | $19.99 | -$0.01 |
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 18.07 | $0.830 | $14.37 | -$0.63 |
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 17.65 | $0.850 | $13.15 | -$1.85 |
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
| buy |
| 10.5 |
| $0.952 |
| $10 |
| 6d ago |
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | 8d ago |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 31.68 | $0.963 | $30.51 | 15d ago |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 86.91 | $0.964 | $83.77 | 15d ago |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 83.68 | $0.964 | $80.67 | 15d ago |
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 21d ago |
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | 21d ago |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 18.69 | $0.040 | $0.75 | 21d ago |
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | 23d ago |
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 15.74 | $0.953 | $15 | 23d ago |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 24.78 | $0.360 | $8.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.58 | $0.972 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.958 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 41.93 | $0.954 | $40 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 105.26 | $0.180 | $18.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaNothing | buy | 42.16 | $0.949 | $40 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.28 | $0.959 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 191.58 | $0.939 | $179.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 27.26 | $0.819 | $22.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 112.42 | $0.890 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 27.26 | $0.917 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 52.74 | $0.948 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 58.69 | $0.966 | $56.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 31?Up | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 143.7 | $0.988 | $141.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 44.6 | $0.934 | $41.66 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 64.1 | $0.571 | $36.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 26.42 | $0.965 | $25.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 52.02 | $0.980 | $50.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 885.46 | $0.996 | $882 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 202.4 | $0.988 | $200 | Jul 23, 2026 |