Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
rafb is down $98.2 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 431.35 | $0.922 | $420.35 | +$22.52 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$0.07 | $0.07 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | $3.89 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 22:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 22:21 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.3K and losing ones cost $345.68 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.71K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $273.69 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 495 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($0.07). Its open positions are worth $2.36K across 66 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 113.82 |
| $0.987 |
| $113.14 |
| +$0.84 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 114.78 | $0.940 | $109.5 | +$1.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 112.47 | $0.940 | $101.79 | -$3.94 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 109.31 | $0.870 | $97.29 | +$2.19 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 111.33 | $0.820 | $96.3 | +$5.01 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 105.16 | $0.895 | $90.96 | -$3.2 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 90.52 | $0.984 | $90.25 | +$1.2 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 109.11 | $0.875 | $88.92 | -$6.52 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 84.15 | $0.997 | $83.73 | -$0.17 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 88.45 | $0.948 | $83.45 | -$0.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 81.27 | $0.944 | $77.82 | +$1.1 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 72.39 | $0.997 | $71.92 | -$0.25 |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 72.39 | $0.998 | $70.94 | -$1.3 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 62.61 | $0.988 | $61.3 | -$0.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55.34 | $0.971 | $53.21 | -$0.54 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 49.64 | $0.940 | $47.9 | +$1.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | 40.99 | $0.967 | $40.03 | +$0.39 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 36.28 | $0.930 | $34.1 | +$0.36 |
 Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 36.34 | $0.930 | $32.89 | -$0.91 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 35.05 | $0.935 | $31.02 | -$1.77 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 32.29 | $0.925 | $30.64 | +$0.78 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 27.92 | $0.930 | $27.17 | +$1.2 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 26.7 | $0.997 | $26.58 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? | Yes | 24.86 | $0.956 | $24.24 | +$0.46 |
4 of 7 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
