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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.55K | $0.321 | $1.37K | +$547.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.999 | $9.66 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.55K |
| $0.673 |
| $1.14K |
| -$582.8 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 807.84 | $0.981 | $786.03 | -$6.63 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 614.23 | $0.990 | $604.71 | -$3.22 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 519.57 | $0.922 | $494.37 | +$15.18 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 474.49 | $0.991 | $472.35 | +$2.03 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 337.51 | $0.988 | $334.3 | +$1.01 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 267.26 | $0.964 | $243.21 | -$14.49 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 149.41 | $0.993 | $148.44 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 112.47 | $0.940 | $105.16 | -$0.56 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 111.78 | $0.900 | $100.04 | -$0.56 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 108.99 | $0.849 | $95.37 | +$2.83 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 113.65 | $0.820 | $93.76 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 96.19 | $0.964 | $93.74 | +$0.99 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 107.74 | $0.875 | $92.12 | -$2.2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 186.17 | $0.438 | $84.71 | +$3.11 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | Yes | 76.19 | $0.967 | $73.79 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 59.47 | $0.944 | $56.94 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55.34 | $0.971 | $53.32 | -$0.43 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 74.53 | $0.610 | $48.82 | +$3.35 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 67.25 | $0.558 | $47.41 | +$9.85 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 43.99 | $0.980 | $43.4 | +$0.27 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Yes | 55.74 | $0.739 | $42.36 | +$1.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | 43.5 | $0.967 | $41.83 | -$0.23 |
 Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral? | No | 39.78 | $0.999 | $39.66 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 18.28 |
| $0.999 |
| $18.26 |
| 3h ago |
| Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.999 | $21.19 | 6h ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.77 | $0.997 | $45.63 | 6h ago |
 Will Erling Haaland attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 6h ago |
 Will Donald Trump attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.999 | $19.58 | 7h ago |
 Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?No | sell | 13.37 | $0.984 | $13.16 | 19h ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.987 | $14.81 | 19h ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 3.66 | $0.986 | $3.61 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | 21h ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.958 | $7.61 | 23h ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 6.19 | $0.948 | $5.87 | 1d ago |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.78 | $0.956 | $23.69 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 61 | $0.990 | $60.39 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.991 | $6.26 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | 1d ago |
| Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 18.57 | $0.998 | $18.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.690 | $9 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 17.63 | $0.963 | $16.98 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.966 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 37.19 | $0.996 | $37.04 | 2d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.945 | $4.67 | 2d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 5.77 | $0.690 | $3.98 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.76 | $0.962 | $14.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | 2d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.800 | $0.36 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 12.46 | $0.893 | $11.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.894 | $4.77 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.954 | $19.61 | 2d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.948 | $9.24 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.955 | $14.94 | 3d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 25.41 | $0.980 | $24.9 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.958 | $7.64 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 28.28 | $0.959 | $27.12 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 54.32 | $0.974 | $52.91 | 3d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.22 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.961 | $8.41 | 3d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | 3d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 134.94 | $0.984 | $132.78 | 3d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 126.89 | $0.998 | $126.64 | 3d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.59 | $0.995 | $55.31 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.95 | $0.993 | $17.82 | 3d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 134.13 | $0.985 | $132.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.983 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.962 | $3.07 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | 3d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 14.88 | $0.984 | $14.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 126.89 | $0.999 | $126.76 | 3d ago |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.920 | $17 | 3d ago |