Analytics
1BTCis1BTC is down $2.57K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 79.98K | $0.001 | $39.99 | -$39.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 06:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 17:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 17:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 06:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $533.95 and losing ones cost $929.48 across the latest 50 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $66.23 on “Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $47.59 on “Deel IPO before 2027?” (Yes).
It has traded 605 markets. Its open positions are worth $281.85 across 75 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 90.01 |
| $0.153 |
| $12.6 |
| -$1.2 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? | Yes | 278.39 | $0.053 | $9.74 | -$5.07 |
 Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 600 | $0.028 | $9.6 | -$7.14 |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? | Yes | 258.25 | $0.050 | $8.39 | -$4.5 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | Yes | 104.55 | $0.100 | $7.53 | -$2.97 |
 Will Ethereal launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.08 | $0.129 | $6.89 | -$0.22 |
 Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 201.04 | $0.037 | $6.73 | -$0.64 |
 Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.01 | $0.114 | $6.6 | -$0.23 |
| Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 51.81 | $0.190 | $6.48 | -$3.35 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.043 | $6.3 | -$2.33 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 400 | $0.020 | $6.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? | Yes | 129.7 | $0.062 | $5.77 | -$2.27 |
 Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.234 | $5.55 | -$1.46 |
 Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.200 | $5.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 115.48 | $0.077 | $5.2 | -$3.69 |
 Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 42.43 | $0.110 | $4.88 | +$0.22 |
 Cambria listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 60 | $0.125 | $4.8 | -$2.7 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.051 | $4.65 | -$0.42 |
 Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 67.02 | $0.091 | $4.36 | -$1.73 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 128.71 | $0.033 | $4.31 | +$0.1 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 200.28 | $0.024 | $4.31 | -$0.5 |
 Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 38.32 | $0.120 | $4.22 | -$0.38 |
 Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.54 | $0.084 | $4.1 | -$0.83 |
 Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.160 | $3.6 | -$1.2 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
