Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 4.5 points from 12% when the market opened on 28 Jul 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%; a month before, 8%.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Courtyard launch a token by ___?”.
$1.53K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $939.49, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $20.42 bought Yes and $457.78 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 106 shares; the largest No position is Mushy-Ox-Aunt with 124.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 12.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mushy-Ox-Aunt | No | 123.54 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 105.54 |
| wish- | No | 101.06 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtyard officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Courtyard after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Courtyard (https://x.com/Courtyard_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courtyard-launch-a-token-by-20260727145836884
| lakatosnapoleon |
| No |
| 61.28 |
| pppnn | No | 60 |
| 1BTCis1BTC | Yes | 58.54 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 58.06 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 50.99 |
| qqqppp-l1 | Yes | 38.71 |
| Malganis | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
