Analytics
Yes is at 41.5%, down 15 points from 56% when the market opened on 28 Jul 2026.
Across the 91 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 34% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44.5%; a month before, 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 39% on 6 Aug 2026.
December 31, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Will Courtyard launch a token by ___?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 42.5%; December 31, 2026 is at 7.5%.
$137.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.05K since listing. The order book holds $489.24, with a 29.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $286.85 bought Yes and $489.01 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 197 shares; the largest No position is Mushy-Ox-Aunt with 253.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 56.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mushy-Ox-Aunt | No | 253.09 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 197.3 |
| Malganis | Yes | 60.55 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtyard officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Courtyard after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Courtyard (https://x.com/Courtyard_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courtyard-launch-a-token-by-20260727145836884
| ZhouCD |
| No |
| 30 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 20.05 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 20 |
| Scoopdewhoop | Yes | 18.95 |
| Alina-17 | Yes | 5 |
| xixihaha009 | Yes | 4.12 |
| 79fsdfs | No | 2.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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