Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 50.1 | $0.800 | $36.82 | -$3.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 8?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.955 | $19.2 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 40.1 |
| $0.855 |
| $34.09 |
| -$0.2 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 40.2 | $0.574 | $30.61 | +$7.54 |
 Will Trump say "Scottish Blood" this week? | No | 30 | $0.790 | $26.55 | +$2.85 |
 Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? | No | 30.1 | $0.830 | $25.13 | +$0.15 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 25.38 | $0.971 | $24.6 | -$0.05 |
 Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? | No | 30.1 | $0.702 | $21.82 | +$0.68 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get at least 75 million views on day 5? | No | 20.1 | $0.920 | $20.09 | +$1.6 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 5? | No | 20.1 | $0.920 | $20.09 | +$1.6 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 70 million views on day 5? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19.99 | +$1.59 |
 Will California have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.98 | +$1.19 |
| Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 19.98 | $0.940 | $19.97 | +$1.19 |
 Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.630 | $19.85 | +$7.26 |
 Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | No | 21 | $0.756 | $19.83 | +$3.96 |
 Will Zandile Gumede be the next mayor of eThekwini? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.71 | +$1.91 |
| Will Delaware have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 21 | $0.930 | $19.64 | +$0.11 |
| Will Florida have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 20 | $0.940 | $19.1 | +$0.3 |
| Will West Virginia have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $19 | +$0.4 |
| Will "Rigged" be in the headlines this week? | No | 20.1 | $0.880 | $18.94 | +$1.26 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $18.9 | +$4.5 |
| Will "Star" be in the headlines this week? | No | 30.1 | $0.710 | $18.66 | -$2.71 |
| Will "Elon" or "Musk" be in the headlines this week? | No | 20.09 | $0.795 | $18.18 | +$2.21 |
 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | No | 21 | $0.820 | $17.96 | +$0.74 |
| Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $17.9 | -$0.7 |
 Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.690 | $17.4 | -$3.3 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.990 |
| $99 |
| 3d ago |
 Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 7?No | buy | 17 | $0.898 | $15.27 | 3d ago |
| Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on September 7?No | buy | 21 | $0.990 | $20.79 | 3d ago |
| Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on September 7?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.985 | $19.79 | 3d ago |
| Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 7?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.990 | $19.89 | 3d ago |
| Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on September 7?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 3d ago |
 Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on September 6?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.360 | $7.92 | 4d ago |
 Will Hung Jung-chang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 4d ago |
 Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.002 | $0.07 | 4d ago |
 Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?No | sell | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.970 | $20.01 | 4d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 1?No | sell | 39.27 | $0.999 | $39.23 | 4d ago |
| Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 20.63 | $0.970 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Will Denver, CO face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.965 | $19.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Omaha, NE face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Omaha, NE face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.964 | $19.29 | 4d ago |
| Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.965 | $19.31 | 4d ago |
| Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 6?No | buy | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | 4d ago |
 Will Guy Kelton Jones I advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | 4d ago |
 Will Isaac Atkins advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
 Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 4d ago |
 Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.012 | $0.25 | 4d ago |
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No | sell | 10.87 | $0.966 | $10.5 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 6?No | buy | 18.82 | $0.850 | $16 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on September 5?Yes | sell | 21.1 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
| Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on September 5?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.001 | $0 | 4d ago |
| Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on September 5?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.001 | $0 | 4d ago |
| Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on September 5?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.314 | $6.28 | 4d ago |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.666 | $13.32 | 4d ago |
 Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.290 | $8.99 | 4d ago |
| Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.690 | $21.39 | 4d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 4d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 4d ago |
| Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 5?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on September 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.031 | $0.31 | 5d ago |
 Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | 5d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 5?No | buy | 24 | $0.940 | $22.56 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 5d ago |
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 5?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.930 | $18.69 | 5d ago |