Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 27 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 157 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 38.5% on 9 Jun 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Ethereal launch a token by ___?”.
$3.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $750.44, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 83 trades, $176.29 bought Yes and $679.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 1BTCis1BTC with 55 shares; the largest No position is ValdeMURRR with 60.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 21 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ValdeMURRR | No | 60.17 |
| pppnn | No | 59.99 |
| 1BTCis1BTC | Yes | 55.08 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereal officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethereal will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ethereal-launch-a-token-by
| lakatosnapoleon |
| No |
| 50.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 45.37 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 30 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 29.99 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 9.01 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow | Yes | 5 |
| TerranSupremacy | No | 3.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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