Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 58.06 | $0.310 | $6.97 | -$11.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No | buy | 78.52 | $0.015 | $1.16 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 81.82 |
| $0.110 |
| $5.32 |
| -$3.68 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $4.73 | -$5.27 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.180 | $4.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 88.38 | $0.090 | $3.4 | -$4.6 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 51.2 | $0.293 | $3.17 | -$11.83 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $2.12 | -$7.88 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 50.43 |
| $0.023 |
| $1.16 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?No | sell | 140.15 | $0.003 | $0.42 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?No | buy | 140.16 | $0.014 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.360 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 35.82 | $0.409 | $14.65 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200.46 | $0.409 | $81.99 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 25.82 | $0.280 | $7.23 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 81.81 | $0.092 | $7.53 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 79.08 | $0.217 | $17.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 258.04 | $0.070 | $18.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.135 | $9.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.171 | $10.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 14.82 | $0.340 | $5.04 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 19.1 | $0.278 | $5.31 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 31.15 | $0.200 | $6.23 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.042 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 37.65 | $0.085 | $3.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.59 | $0.269 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.310 | $8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.307 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.370 | $8.41 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 21.95 | $0.410 | $9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 35.61 | $0.720 | $25.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 29.76 | $0.510 | $15.18 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.35 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |