Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 115.42 | $0.516 | $61.75 | +$2.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.992 | $1.99 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 115.18 |
| $0.486 |
| $52.41 |
| -$3.6 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.707 | $27 | -$1.29 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 22.27 | $0.979 | $21.67 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 14.37 | $0.992 | $14.22 | -$0.03 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 14.15 | $0.939 | $13.55 | +$0.26 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.994 | $12.15 | +$0.03 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 12.79 | $0.950 | $12.08 | -$0.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 37.92 | $0.271 | $11.56 | +$1.3 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 11.65 | $0.949 | $11.01 | -$0.05 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 9.85 | $0.963 | $9.57 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.977 | $7.14 | -$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 7.24 | $0.939 | $6.7 | -$0.1 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 7.18 | $0.945 | $6.59 | -$0.19 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 5.66 | $0.972 | $5.56 | +$0.05 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5.95 | $0.940 | $5.5 | -$0.09 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 6.1 | $0.822 | $5.1 | +$0.08 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.01 | $0.940 | $4.63 | -$0.07 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 5.47 | $0.705 | $4.02 | +$0.17 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 4.02 | $0.950 | $3.8 | -$0.02 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 3.92 | $0.941 | $3.67 | -$0.03 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 3.89 | $0.890 | $3.47 | $0 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 3.91 | $0.830 | $3.23 | -$0.02 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | No | 3.29 | $0.948 | $3.11 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.1 | $0.940 | $2.89 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.5 |
| $0.989 |
| $0.49 |
| 1d ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.932 | $0.93 | 1d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.932 | $0.59 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.984 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.984 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.984 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.991 | $1.99 | 2d ago |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.690 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.963 | $1.95 | 2d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.945 | $0.33 | 2d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.690 | $0.21 | 3d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.978 | $0.32 | 3d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.985 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.953 | $0.43 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.958 | $1.94 | 3d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | sell | 0.83 | $0.960 | $0.8 | 3d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.984 | $3.88 | 3d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.995 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.985 | $3.88 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.978 | $0.95 | 4d ago |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | 4d ago |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | buy | 2 | $0.920 | $1.84 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 4.27 | $0.983 | $4.2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.980 | $1.99 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.984 | $3.87 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.955 | $1.94 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.92 | $0.984 | $0.91 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.670 | $0.67 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1 | $0.984 | $0.98 | 4d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.999 | $2.99 | 4d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.995 | $2.97 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.680 | $1.4 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.965 | $0.97 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.994 | $0.99 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.984 | $0.68 | 4d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.985 | $2.91 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.95 | $0.996 | $0.95 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.680 | $1.4 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3 | $0.993 | $2.98 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.510 | $2.45 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.490 | $2.35 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.64 | $0.280 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4 | $0.996 | $3.98 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.959 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.960 | $2.82 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.959 | $2.4 | 4d ago |