Latest trade
Oct 14, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
thermojuergen63 is down $0.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 14, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:27 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Dec 8, 2024 UTC to Oct 14, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-04 12:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:27 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-04 12:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $26.36 and losing ones cost $19.77 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14.93 on “Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2 on “Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Oct 2025. It has traded 62 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.16 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Obama arrested in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.288 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.050 | $0.23 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.54 | $0.859 | $15.93 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jun 20, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
 350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
 Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.971 | $1.76 | Feb 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Progressive Citizens' Party in Liechtenstein win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.054 | $1 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
 Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.450 | $1.27 | Dec 27, 2024 UTC |
 Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Jay-Z in jail before April?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
 OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.