Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 41% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 163 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 55% on 29 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 55% on 29 Jul 2025. $250.25K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 163 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 41.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JoeyJokesAlot | Yes | 2.86K |
| B2twarminius | Yes | 2.16K |
| Topg2837 | Yes | 2.1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
| markdubmogulmoves | Yes | 1.57K |
| Loveil | Yes | 1.05K |
| FrogATH | Yes | 699.09 |
| ethanblack | Yes | 530.07 |
| lissartter | Yes | 527.77 |
| hd9827 | Yes | 329.98 |
| AndrewHeath9306 | Yes | 286 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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