Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $140 | 72.31 | $0.166 | $40.24 | +$28.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | sell | 168.72 | $0.566 | $95.54 | 5d ago |
 |
ethanblack is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,957,262 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$752.63 observed lifetime PnL, 261 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 64.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xbcc53b644d20923a618c66c3fa0b26790bbe2276
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 222.2 |
| $0.455 |
| $36.66 |
| -$64.34 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 33.33 | $0.600 | $25.33 | +$5.33 |
 Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 42.04 | $0.397 | $18.71 | +$2.01 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 187.73 | $0.309 | $17.83 | -$40.27 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 15.77 | $0.660 | $14.58 | +$4.18 |
 Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3.84 | +$0.84 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.850 | $2.54 | +$0.04 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 36.64 | $0.187 | $2.53 | -$4.31 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.090 | $1.43 | -$4.57 |
 Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 84.39 | $0.118 | $0.8 | -$9.2 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.64 | $0.110 | $0.42 | -$1.63 |
| sell |
| 13.79 |
| $0.920 |
| $12.69 |
| 26d ago |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | buy | 167.57 | $0.107 | $18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.580 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.020 | $0.28 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.310 | $1.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.148 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.177 | $2.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?No | sell | 21.04 | $0.290 | $6.1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.190 | $4 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | sell | 10.97 | $0.450 | $4.94 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.620 | $1.93 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.590 | $1.96 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.530 | $1.8 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 8.24 | $0.243 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | sell | 29.66 | $0.487 | $14.44 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 42.04 | $0.397 | $16.7 | May 4, 2026 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 84.39 | $0.118 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 26.46 | $0.780 | $20.64 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?Yes | buy | 8.68 | $0.546 | $4.74 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?Yes | buy | 14.14 | $0.354 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 57.31 | $0.349 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 18.5 | $0.200 | $3.7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | sell | 14.1 | $0.280 | $3.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 9 | $0.200 | $1.8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.014 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.2 | $0.982 | $13.94 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.340 | $1.81 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | sell | 128.19 | $0.303 | $38.82 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.52 | $0.530 | $1.86 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.096 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.545 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.477 | $9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?No | sell | 14.77 | $0.655 | $9.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.478 | $2.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.153 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.