Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 69% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 1 May 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 54% on 21 Mar 2026. $310.85K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 9:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 69.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x234 | Yes | 7.3K |
| Colorless-Payment | Yes | 7.2K |
| Sandy-Amazon | Yes | 5.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-iceman-by
| Yes |
| 4.88K |
| ripntearer | Yes | 4.38K |
| NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE | Yes | 2.5K |
| gggf333 | Yes | 1.69K |
| nexus-monkey | Yes | 1.51K |
| KiRza | Yes | 1.17K |
| Muted-Cicada | Yes | 1.14K |
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