Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84.7%. Yes opened at 36% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84.7% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 55% on 26 Mar 2026. $102.57K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 2:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 36.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 84.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeDelta | No | 2K |
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| kamarat | No | 400 |
| Mature-Height | No | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jd-vance-talk-to-iranian-negotiators-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| cheweh1 | No | 212.62 |
| pillusch | No | 142.06 |
| Astonishing-Revitalization | No | 83.33 |
| Jsvensson | No | 80.36 |
| Janfolta | No | 68.23 |
| AUREAAI | No | 66.68 |
