Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 38 points from 48% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 44.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Israel annex any territory by...?”.
$158.7 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.74K, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 57 shares; the largest No position is MEPP with 157.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MEPP | No | 157 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 57 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
| Original-Anything-Petition |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 10 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 1.7 |
| Cobalt Horizon 992B | No | 1.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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