Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 593.95 | $0.832 | $507.83 | +$13.54 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | just now |
|
| Yes |
| 2.21K |
| $0.226 |
| $349.31 |
| -$150.58 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 389.11 | $0.892 | $341.44 | -$5.49 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 329.83 | $0.775 | $314.99 | +$59.41 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 250.91 | $0.875 | $219.54 | -$0.04 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 385.95 | $0.462 | $202.62 | +$24.14 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 195.47 | $0.918 | $190.98 | +$11.43 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 497 | $0.776 | $186.13 | -$199.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 904.04 | $0.610 | $176.29 | -$375.63 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 142.12 | $0.981 | $140.06 | +$0.64 |
 NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | No | 142.36 | $0.958 | $139.44 | +$3.05 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 128.43 | $0.879 | $120.08 | +$7.15 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 125.81 | $0.767 | $108.83 | +$12.38 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.35K | $0.091 | $105.87 | -$107.41 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 112.03 | $0.673 | $95.28 | +$19.82 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 107.44 | $0.607 | $91.33 | +$26.06 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 166.35 | $0.433 | $80.68 | +$8.71 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 79.51 | $0.955 | $79 | +$3.1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 77.67 | $0.796 | $76.97 | +$15.1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 80.72 | $0.898 | $76.69 | +$4.23 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 81.6 | $0.848 | $76.3 | +$7.06 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 80.14 | $0.900 | $74.13 | +$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 78.59 | $0.682 | $62.48 | +$8.84 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | No | 62.63 | $0.896 | $60.44 | +$4.34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 97.25 | $0.739 | $58.54 | -$13.29 |
| buy |
| 2.08 |
| $0.530 |
| $1.1 |
| just now |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | 3m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | 3m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.890 | $1.75 | 3m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.640 | $1.75 | 4m ago |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.995 | $1.1 | 14m ago |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | 22m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | 44m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | 45m ago |
 Will Liz Huston give the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | 45m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 19.94 | $0.550 | $10.97 | 45m ago |
 Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | 51m ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.160 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.480 | $1.54 | 1h ago |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.953 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.460 | $0.26 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.720 | $1.16 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.159 | $0.95 | 1h ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.830 | $1.75 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.460 | $1.15 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.830 | $1.75 | 1h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.370 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.150 | $1.1 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 13.4 | $0.270 | $3.62 | 2h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.020 | $1.1 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.300 | $1.75 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.320 | $1.75 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.320 | $1.75 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.320 | $1.75 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.560 | $1.75 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.060 | $0.31 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 4.28 | $0.130 | $0.56 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.130 | $0.09 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.87 | $0.130 | $0.11 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.143 | $1.1 | 3h ago |