Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 183 | $0.910 | $167.17 | +$0.64 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?No | sell | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.705 |
| $29.01 |
| +$7.86 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.420 | $12.95 | -$16.45 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 49 | $0.120 | $3.19 | -$2.7 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 3 | $0.975 | $2.37 | -$0.56 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.510 | $0.2 | -$7.45 |
 Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 1 | $0.102 | $0.15 | +$0.04 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.091 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 29 |
| $0.909 |
| $26.36 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 16 | $0.909 | $14.54 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.033 | $0.3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.033 | $0.43 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.033 | $0.46 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 136 | $0.400 | $54.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 362 | $0.400 | $144.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | buy | 498 | $0.440 | $219.12 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | sell | 169 | $0.780 | $131.82 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | sell | 413 | $0.780 | $322.14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | buy | 582 | $0.790 | $459.78 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 257 | $0.860 | $221.02 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 49 | $0.770 | $37.73 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 7 | $0.770 | $5.39 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 257 | $0.790 | $203.03 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?No | sell | 548 | $0.820 | $449.36 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?No | buy | 548 | $0.830 | $454.84 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 19 | $0.140 | $2.66 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | sell | 26 | $0.440 | $11.44 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | sell | 711 | $0.440 | $312.84 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 147 | $0.740 | $108.78 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 737 | $0.460 | $339.02 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 441 | $0.750 | $330.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 361 | $0.400 | $144.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 441 | $0.750 | $330.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 19 | $0.190 | $3.61 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 37 | $0.410 | $15.17 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 398 | $0.430 | $171.14 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 216 | $0.720 | $155.52 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 596 | $0.730 | $435.08 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 959 | $0.740 | $709.66 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 307 | $0.770 | $236.39 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 281 | $0.770 | $216.37 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 588 | $0.790 | $464.52 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 444 | $0.400 | $177.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 283 | $0.400 | $113.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 727 | $0.380 | $276.26 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 191 | $0.700 | $133.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 191 | $0.700 | $133.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 646 | $0.190 | $122.74 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 646 | $0.170 | $109.82 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?No | sell | 61 | $0.880 | $53.68 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?No | sell | 527 | $0.880 | $463.76 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?No | buy | 588 | $0.890 | $523.32 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | sell | 204 | $0.500 | $102 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | sell | 104 | $0.770 | $80.08 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | sell | 113 | $0.760 | $85.88 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | sell | 186 | $0.760 | $141.36 | Jan 5, 2026 |