Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 28 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 22.5% on 28 Dec 2024. $308.45K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 12:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 17.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TriaKube | Yes | 3.53K |
| Mitfliedsname12 | Yes | 1K |
| Ptolemyii | Yes | 547.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Shawn Corey Carter (a.k.a. "Jay-Z"), serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between December 8, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jay-z-in-jail-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 428.08 |
| xwQxVoxRpP | Yes | 414.77 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 413 |
| cLeAmSOopy | Yes | 136 |
| NcAkrGjXxJ | Yes | 101.13 |
| jamtoursafrica | Yes | 55.38 |
| NAeHCLyzEJ | Yes | 50 |
