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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.015 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 976.47 |
| $0.850 |
| $830 |
| May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 831.81 | $0.719 | $598 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 674.53 | $0.026 | $17.69 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.501 | $60.1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | sell | 590 | $0.061 | $36.24 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.34K | $0.010 | $31.8 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 240 | $0.770 | $184.8 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 442.02 | $0.530 | $234.27 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.114 | $270 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.054 | $70.59 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.440 | $61.6 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 83.43 | $0.510 | $42.55 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 500.29 | $0.010 | $5.2 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.042 | $100 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 146.34 | $0.410 | $60 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.054 | $100 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 408.85 | $0.690 | $282.11 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.040 | $42.29 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.430 | $60.2 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?Yes | buy | 49.69 | $0.550 | $27.33 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Jay-Z in jail before April?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.021 | $0.46 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 40.06 | $0.430 | $17.23 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 506.06 | $0.669 | $338.4 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.4 | $0.430 | $35 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.058 | $15.66 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.012 | $26 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 920.74 | $0.022 | $20 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 574.54 | $0.035 | $20 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.031 | $0.67 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.47 | $0.012 | $1.22 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.2 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.014 | $4.38 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.02 | $0.013 | $0.85 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.097 | $100 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 83.44 | $0.479 | $40 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 408.85 | $0.734 | $300 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 506.06 | $0.395 | $200 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 589.8 | $0.017 | $10 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.016 | $17.76 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Feb 27, 2025 |